Land-use Suitability: Incorporating Climate Change Impacts

Project Duration: 1st March 2017 to 30th June 2019

Project Budget: $ 450,000

Future climate is likely to have a major impact on primary sectors and has the potential to drive major shifts in land use as previously suitable and viable climatic conditions change. In particular, land use suitability, a concept developed by the Our Land and Water (OLW) challenge will be affected by changes in climate and weather patterns. The aim of this research is to answer the question: “how will future climate impact on land-use suitability?”.

Work will be carried out in two themes: 1) developing a conceptual framework for identifying climate attributes that strongly underpin land-use suitability, and 2) testing some of these attributes under future climate scenarios, including both biophysical and socio-economic implications.

The aim is to better understand the importance of climate change impacts on the resilience of agricultural land uses, changes in land-use suitability and potential irreversible tipping points that may affect future options. By integrating biophysical potential and shifts in land-use suitability with socio-economic implications, we will enable stakeholders to integrate multiple decision criteria and better understand how to incorporate climate change within their decision-making processes.

Principal Investigators:

Primary Contact: Dr Anne-Gaelle Ausseil , Landcare Research, (04) 382 6642

Dr Mike Beare, Plant & Food Research

Dr Tony van der Weerden, AgResearch

Dr Troy Baisden, GNS Science


Have a look at all Deep South Challenge Projects

Latest news and updates

The third Wai o Papa Exhibition: A project of hope for Māori Coastal communities

One Deep South Challenge project, within the Vision Mātauranga programme, has been exploring adaptation strategies to address climate change impacts on coastal Māori communities.

The future of climate modelling in New Zealand

A new paper published in the 2016 edition of Weather and Climate - the journal of the Meteorological Society of New Zealand - documents the purpose, challenges, next steps and future goals of the NZESM, the New Zealand Earth System Model.

“Accelerating progress in global modelling”: Milestone event for climate modellers

Recently, Deep South Challenge modellers met with experts from meteorological and research agencies in the UK, Australia, Korea, Philippines, India, USA, South Africa and New Zealand at a NIWA-hosted technical workshop on global climate modelling.